‘Stratus quo': Season’s coldest air mass on the way

What you see is what you get. Most of Minnesota lies under a steel gray cloud blanket once again today. "Stratus quo."

Our overcast leaks a few snow showers from Ely to the North Shore, and a few rain showers in the marginally milder above freezing air mass to the south.

Yes, this is what Minnesota looks and feels like in late fall.

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The season's strongest cold front sweeps south today through Minnesota. Packed pressure lines on the surface maps mean gusty northwest winds.

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The big blue "H" on the maps is the center of a chilly Canadian high pressure cell. The good news? As the center of the high drifts overhead Friday evening, winds should die down quite a bit for the little ghosties.

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NOAA

Two weeks ago I tossed out early numbers that suggested upper 30s as a possibility for Halloween this year. I wish the early numbers I was looking at then from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Global Forecast System  were wrong for hearty trick-or -treaters.

Earlier this week, I dug up the numbers that showed this would likely be the coldest Halloween in 8 years.

It looks like the early GFS was right on the money for Halloween this year. Here's the latest pinpoint hourly microcast for Friday.

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Weatherspark

Yes, the Michelin Man may be the costume of choice this year.

60s next week?

Both the GFS and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts are hinting at a warm up in the seven to 10 day range. Timing varies on a potential warm up. The GFS suggests 60s in the Nov. 10-12 frame, but the European model is cranking out 60 degrees again as soon as next Thursday.

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Weatherspark

Stay tuned!